BJP ready for an easy victory in UP, alliance may get 230-249 seats

New Delhi: The BJP is set to comfortably win the assembly elections in Uttar Pradesh, making Yogi Adityanath the state’s first CM for two consecutive terms since 1985. The poll predicts 230-249 seats for the BJP-led coalition in the 403-member House.

The Samajwadi Party-led alliance is projected to lag well between 137 and 152 seats, while the BSP and Congress are seen practically out of the race. The BSP is projected to win 9-14 seats, the lowest in three decades, and the Congress is projected to end in single digits in 2017.

The BJP alliances are estimated to have a vote share of 38.6%, almost three percentage points lower than in 2017, while the SP alliance’s 34.4% will be a huge improvement over the previous assembly elections. The two major parties seem to be gaining votes at the expense of the BSP, which is projected to drop from 22.2% in 2017 to just 14.1%, if the survey turns out to be correct.

The law and order pitch of the Yogi government was seen by the respondents as its strongest point and the issues of Kashi and Mathura were also considered to work in favor of the BJP.

On the other hand, the Lakhimpur Kheri incident and the second wave of Covid were seen as tarnishing the image of the BJP government.

The opinion poll was conducted between December 16 and 30, with a sample size of 21,480.